Experts believe that this year's trade friction will continue, given the strong recovery in China's foreign trade is still a huge challenge.
Latest informed that South Korea's National Plant Quarantine Bureau recently said that from February 23 onwards, belonging to China nematode Radopholus epidemic in the name of China in Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan Provinces export ginger, potato and other kinds of plants to implement ban transportation, experts believe that such technical barriers by means of an embargo on China's agricultural products is suspect.
And in just the last Year of the Tiger Chinese New Year holidays, the United States, the European Union, Argentina and other countries have on Chinese oil well drill pipe, coated paper, melamine products such as anti-dumping investigations, trade protection measures can be said to dense "angry." Experts said that from 2010 to 2012 China will continue to face severe trade protection of the environment, outside the United States, from the European Union and developing countries, trade protection measures should also be vigilant. In the global economic recovery is not solid enough in the context of trade protectionism are also affected by the global containment, recovery is still strong for China's foreign trade is undoubtedly a huge challenge.
Since entering in February, from the United States on Chinese gift box with ribbon impose high anti-dumping duties, our country has frequently suffered from different countries, trade remedy measures. Local time on February 19, the U.S. International Trade Commission issued preliminary announcement, saying the oil drill pipe from China in the United States constitute dumping. 18 February, the European Commission on the origin or coated paper imports from China initiated anti-dumping investigations, and on the previous day, the European Commission has just issued a decision on the production of melamine from China initiated anti-dumping investigations announcement.
In addition to the developed countries, developing countries also suffered launched an attack to China, China's foreign trade is suffering from the global containment. Argentina has issued a statement said on China's suits, suits and other products for anti-dumping investigation on the origin of China's high-speed steel straight blade manually start anti-dumping investigations; Mexican Ministry of Economy decided to continue originating in China's high-carbon ferromanganese levy 21 % five-year anti-dumping duties; Colombia China juice machine to make a preliminary anti-dumping case, decided to originating in China's juice machine to impose provisional anti-dumping duties.
"The current global economic recovery is still uncertain, China's foreign trade is suffering from the global containment of the root." School of Economics, Renmin University of China, Professor Wang Jinbin in an interview with reporters that the Chinese exports despite consecutive months of positive growth, but the depreciation of the dollar RMB exchange rate led to a strong decline as well as policies to stimulate both the context of the crisis to boost Chinese exports has played a certain role, in 2012 China's foreign trade still can not see a strong recovery trend, from several countries, involves a number of industry trade protectionism is very large uncertainties. In the uncertain global economic recovery in the context of trade protectionism are also affected by the global containment, no doubt for the recovery of China's foreign trade is still solid, it is a huge challenge.
The experts further analysis pointed out that in 2012 China's trade friction situation is still facing a very grim, especially from EU countries trade protection measures should be vigilant. The reason is: Compared to the U.S., the EU countries the ability to withstand external deficit is even worse, the employment pressure greater economic imbalances problem is serious, the role of monetary policy is very limited. The other hand, in recent years China's rapid economic rise, exports surpassed Germany to become the first in the world, which are so small EU countries do not feel the pressure. Therefore, in 2012 the EU will certainly continue to revalue its currency and implement a variety of anti-dumping and countervailing measures to reduce the trade deficit.
Relative to the U.S., EU and other keen to investigate our products developed economies, the economic crisis on developing countries to use trade remedy investigations are also more frequent. India, Brazil, Argentina, Russia and other trade barriers on China's economy has become increasingly high, involving more and more products, involving more and more. According to WTO statistics, in Argentina's anti-dumping investigations in 1/4 against Chinese products. In recent years, India's anti-dumping investigation on China has more than Europe and the United States, accounting for all WTO members over the same period of anti-dumping investigation on China's total number of cases of 1/5.
In this regard, Foreign Trade University, China WTO Research Institute Tu Xinquan analysis pointed out that the gradual recovery in the global economy in the process of China's trade structure with a high degree of similarity in developing countries must make a variety of means to compete for limited external demand markets, trade friction is inevitable. China's iron and steel, chemicals, light industrial products, such as pro-cyclical industries and low value-added industries will be severely affected.
"This year's trade friction will continue, trade remedy cases of large amounts of high-impact features will continue to exist." CASS Institute of World Economics and Politics of International Trade Research Office, Song Hong also told reporters that the suffering of trade remedy investigations Chinese enterprises are facing severe shock to restore trade friction China's foreign trade has brought great uncertainty. But he is relatively optimistic that, given the global economic situation as a whole in the recovery trend, this year's overall trade frictions should not continue to deteriorate, the number should be basically the same as last year.